Weekly Market Update
03-21-2025
The week was marked by continued uncertainty in the markets, with US stocks facing challenges amidst economic slowdown and trade war concerns. The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady but revised upward its forecast for inflation, which added to concerns about stagflation. President Trump signaled flexibility on retaliatory tariff plan, but investors remained cautious.
Headlines of the Week
• US stocks continue to face uncertainty amidst economic slowdown and trade war concerns
• Federal Reserve holds interest rates steady, but revises upward inflation forecast
• President Trump signals flexibility on retaliatory tariff plan
• Investors react to mixed messages from Fed, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq snapping four-week losing streaks
Main Points
1. Investor disillusionment with President Trump's economic agenda continues to mount - Despite expectations of market-friendly policies, Trump has imposed import tariffs more aggressively than expected, leading to stock reversals and a correction in the S&P 500.
2. The future of stock market investing isn't the stock market - Robinhood is launching prediction markets, allowing users to trade on events such as the Fed meeting and the NCAA tournament. This signals that the role of the stock market may decrease over time.
3. Stagflation fears continue to weigh on investors - The Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady and revise upward its forecast for inflation has added to concerns about an economic slowdown and trade war risks.
Recommendations
• Investors should continue to monitor economic data releases and earnings reports for signs of a slowdown or acceleration in the economy.
• The Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady may indicate a patient approach to monetary policy, which could be beneficial for investors who are looking to ride out market volatility.